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Map of Crimea, showing Kerch where President Putin wants to build a bridge to connect Russia with Crimea |
Either way you look at the events unfolding in Ukraine, one thing will surely never happen - there will be no war. And here are the simple reasons why:
- it is the US and Europe's wish to have 'a piece of the cake' which is the Ukraine because the west wants more people in the European Union and in their sisterly club. More people equals more power. The Ukraine has a population of 45.59 million which was recorded in 2012. Europeans are 739.2 million according to 2011 figures. Russians are 143.5 million according to the 2012 figures - the former Soviet Union had over 500 million people according to Wikipedia - so let's do the sums. In the event that Russia and the west face each other who would have the upper hand?;
- with the economic recession, most of the world powers are not financially as buoyant as before. UK cannot afford a war right now, neither can USA - especially not after Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya etc. And, the $20 billion bail out money promised to Ukraine today is a sure plan that the west want to 'buy' Ukraine (as in a bribe) and then, 'slaughtered' financially;
- Mr. Kerry, the US spokes person warned that Russia’s president, Vladimir V. Putin, might be preparing to expand the scope of his country’s military operation into eastern Ukraine. So, the Kremlin too has vested interested in increasing its power and might;
- to lay their hands on Ukraine's oil and gas which will help fuel British factories and heat homes further and without disruption;
- war will disrupt the peaceful economic boom which is going on between Ukraine and the west and Ukraine and the east. Ukraine is like a child with two warring parents - it would be difficult to decide who to go with, the east (Russia) of the west (Europe and USA) but time will tell;
- Ukraine is a cheap labour destination just like India and many western countries have major business interests, shops and factories there - so, the west wants the action to go in a bigger and better way without leaders who would stop them from making the most of a poor labour force. Putin on the other hand wants to maintain the passage through Crimea to the west, he doesn't want to be cut off my a new Ukraine with leanings towards Europe.
What are your views? Comment and let me know. Thanks!
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